Will a sitting head of state post a video of themselves dancing on TikTok or Instagram Reels by end of 2026?
Latin AmericaOne-OffEurope3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 56.6%
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3
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 16 horas
Desatualizado17/04/26, 21:31 UTC1/01/27, 00:00 UTC
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Resolution Criteria
- Resolves YES if a sitting head of state or head of government of any internationally recognized country posts a video on TikTok or Instagram Reels before December 31, 2026 (23:59 UTC) in which they are clearly dancing.
- What counts:
- The video must be posted to the leader's verified/official TikTok or Instagram account
- The leader must be visibly dancing (not just standing, waving, or clapping) — coordinated body movement to music
- Candid clips posted by others don't count — it must be posted by the leader's own official account
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will a sitting head of state post a video of themselves dancing on TikTok or Instagram Reels by end of 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 57% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will a sitting head of state post a video of themselves dancing on TikTok or Instagram Reels by end of 2026? é resolvido?
- Will a sitting head of state post a video of themselves dancing on TikTok or Instagram Reels by end of 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will a sitting head of state post a video of themselves dancing on TikTok or Instagram Reels by end of 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution Criteria