Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 59.4%
Previsores
25
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 horas
Desatualizado16/12/23, 19:15 UTC1/01/31, 05:59 UTC
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Regras
I will resolve YES if a novel computing medium (analog, optical, quantum, ect.) computer component enters market and is available and received by consumers by December 31, 2030.
- A novel computing medium shall be defined as any computing machine not utilizing silicone (or other semiconductor) based transistors.
- The consumer device can be either a component (GPU, Accelerator Card, ect.), or a standalone device (Mobile Phone, Wearable, ect.), but must be purchasable for $2000, 2023 purchasing power.
- Additionally Resolves YES, if any of the below markets resolve YES.
- https://manifold.markets/henryw/will-the-first-optical-computer-be?r=THVjYXNUaGVsZW4
- https://manifold.markets/AidenPetersen/will-we-see-analog-accelerators-in
Mercados abertos
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 23, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will a novel computing medium enter consumer electronics by EYO 2030??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 59.4% em 23 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will a novel computing medium enter consumer electronics by EYO 2030? é resolvido?
- Will a novel computing medium enter consumer electronics by EYO 2030? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2031.
- Como Will a novel computing medium enter consumer electronics by EYO 2030? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: I will resolve YES if a novel computing medium (analog, optical, quantum, ect.) computer component enters market and is available and received by consumers by December 31, 2030.