Will a hurricane be designated "Category 6" on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale by the NHC by the end of 2030?
ClimaOne-Off4a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 71.8%
Previsores
14
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado6/02/24, 00:31 UTC1/01/31, 07:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
Context: https://eos.org/articles/weve-already-seen-category-6-hurricanes-now-scientists-want-to-make-it-official
- That scale may not capture the risk posed by the most intense storms as the world warms, the authors wrote.
- They suggest a sixth category that encompasses storms with winds greater than 192 miles per hour (309 kilometers per hour).
- This market resolves YES if, by the end of 2030, a storm somewhere in the world has been designated Category 6 by the NHC.
- It resolves NO if no storm has been designated.
- This includes if the NHC has recognized the expansion of the scale, but no storm meets the criteria.
