Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Sim 93%
Previsores
21
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado23/02/24, 12:34 UTC1/03/40, 22:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will a human walk on the Moon again before 2027?
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Manifold MarketsWhere will it rain on Sep 14, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 14, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 14, 2026?
KalshiRegras
Resolves as YES if a human ventures onto the surface of the Moon before January 1st 2040 (and after 2023)
- Questions with the same criteria:
- @/RemNi/will-a-human-walk-on-the-moon-again-97ccfb75fd6d
- @/RemNi/will-a-human-walk-on-the-moon-again-2461b12d959d
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- @/RemNi/will-a-human-venture-again-onto-the-5dd99d5a1e48
Mercados abertos
WeatherKALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 14, 2026?
- Miami+37.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
- Houston+10.0pt43%
+19 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 215,1 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 204,5 mil
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 14, 2026?
- 79° to 80°+26.0pt60%
- 81° to 82°-14.0pt22.7%
- 83° or above-6.0pt9.1%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 14, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+77.0pt78.2%
- 90° to 91°-32.0pt17.3%
- 92° to 93°-34.0pt1.8%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 14, 2026?
- 74° to 75°+37.0pt80%
- 76° to 77°+2.0pt16.2%
- 73° or below-39.0pt0.9%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETHow many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
- 14–16-1.0pt49.5%
- 17–19-0.5pt29.3%
- 11–1315.2%
+4 mais resultados
KALSHIHighest temperature in Chicago on Sep 14, 2026?
- 72° to 73°+43.0pt61.6%
- 74° to 75°-20.0pt19.2%
- 71° or below+12.0pt14.1%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
- Where will it rain on Sep 15, 2026?
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will a human walk on the Moon again before 2040??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 93% em 14 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will a human walk on the Moon again before 2040? é resolvido?
- Will a human walk on the Moon again before 2040? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de março de 2040.
- Como Will a human walk on the Moon again before 2040? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves as YES if a human ventures onto the surface of the Moon before January 1st 2040 (and after 2023)