Will a drug that didn't go through human clinical trials be approved by 2034?
One-OffRegulamentaçãoHealth & Medicine8aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 72.4%
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Atualizado há 14 horas
Desatualizado14/04/24, 19:22 UTC1/01/35, 22:59 UTC
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FutuurRegras
Drug development currently involves the use of AI to search for new compounds but still relies on various phases of testing on human trials to ensure efficacy and safety.
- An option to skip human testing would be to rely on accurate simulations of the human body, but this would require advanced models that can accurately represent the complex interactions within human biology, including genetic variations and long-term effects.
- Achieving this requires vast computational power, sophisticated algorithms, a deeper integration of diverse biological data and obviously overcoming regulations.
- As far as I understand, the computational requirements for such an effort would be in the realm of exaflops, not far from current supercomputers.
- What are the odds to have an AI generated drug that skips human testing within a decade?
- Feel free to comment and share your thoughts and insights!
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will a drug that didn't go through human clinical trials be approved by 2034??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 72% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will a drug that didn't go through human clinical trials be approved by 2034? é resolvido?
- Will a drug that didn't go through human clinical trials be approved by 2034? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2035.
- Como Will a drug that didn't go through human clinical trials be approved by 2034? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Drug development currently involves the use of AI to search for new compounds but still relies on various phases of testing on human trials to ensure efficacy and safety.