Will 10% of London die in any year from disaster, before 2035?
One-OffSociedade e culturaSaúde e medicina8aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 97.6%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 14 horas
Desatualizado2/06/23, 02:18 UTC1/02/35, 04:59 UTC
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Some examples of disasters:
- -Nuclear strike
- -Infrastructure collapse, such as from a solar flare
- If a disaster affects the city of London (England), we'll refer to the total deaths attributed during the calendar year.
- We then calculate that as a percent of the prior population.
- If it's 10% or more, we resolve Yes.
