Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 25 de out. de 2026, 16:30 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atual@Jack1 38.1%-0.5ptLíder entre 15 opções
Previsores
25
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
-25.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 horas
Desatualizado20/01/26, 07:51 UTC1/01/27, 07:59 UTC
Tendências
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Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves to a poll after market close.
- I reserve the right to exclude answers that are duplicates or do not unambiguously refer to a single Manifold user.
- If there are too many options by the time the market closes, I may exclude an unspecified number of least likely contenders.
- Feel free to add answers, bots are allowed.
- "Best trader" is inherently subjective and can be measured by various metrics—profit, prediction accuracy, Sharpe ratio, portfolio performance, or influence on the platform.