Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualThe Super Mario Galaxy Movie 100%Líder entre 11 opções
Previsores
49
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 14 horas
Desatualizado14/01/26, 16:16 UTC30/01/27, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Which 2026 movies will make it into the IMDb Top 250?
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KalshiRegras
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES for any movie that reaches a worldwide box office gross of $1 billion USD or higher and was released by December 31, 2026.
- Resolution will be determined using verified box office data from Box Office Mojo or similar authoritative sources.
- Each answer resolves independently—multiple movies can resolve YES if they each cross the $1 billion threshold.
- If any movie is still in theaters in 2027 and hits the 1 billion mark next year, but was released in 2026, it still resolves YES.
- In 2025, only four movies surpassed $1 billion: "Zootopia 2," "Avatar: Fire and Ash," "Lilo & Stitch," and China's "Ne Zha 2.”
Mercados abertos
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 319,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 98 mil
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,8 mi
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 mais resultados
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 80 mil
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 130,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 45,3 mil
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 4 mi
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Which movies will make a billion dollars worldwide in 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota The Super Mario Galaxy Movie em 100% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Which movies will make a billion dollars worldwide in 2026? é resolvido?
- Which movies will make a billion dollars worldwide in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 30 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Which movies will make a billion dollars worldwide in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria