Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
2026 30.5%Líder entre 6 opções
Previsores
16
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 horas
Desatualizado17/01/25, 22:57 UTC1/01/31, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
PolymarketWill Apple release a new product line before 2027? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsWhen will Tesla Cybertruck be available in Europe?
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Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve based on official announcements from Tesla or verifiable reports of the Cybertruck's discontinuation.
- The discontinuation date will be considered the earliest date when:
- Rebrand: The product name is changed to something substantially other than Cybertruck, OR
- Discontinuation: Tesla officially announces the end of Cybertruck production with no plans to restart, OR
- Internal stealth discontinuation: Tesla takes internal steps to permanently wind down production (e.g. permanently stands down factory lines, switches to selling off existing inventory, reassigns all team members, even if they don’t announce publicly), OR
Mercados abertos
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No-1.0pt82.2%
- Yes+1.0pt17.8%
- Volume total
- € 12,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 204,1 mil
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028+1.0pt43%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-6.0pt35%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-3.0pt31%
+7 mais resultados
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 202798%
- Before Apr 1, 202795%
- Before Jan 1, 202792%
+9 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 18,4 mil
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+0.5pt89%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,84%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 2,4 mi
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt65%
- Before May 1, 2027+4.0pt54%
- Before Apr 1, 202750%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 892,9 mil
KALSHIWhich companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Jersey Mike's99%
- Shein98%
- Oura-1.0pt94%
+26 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 6,2 mil
- Clavicular sentenced to prison?
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- Will Kraken's valuation hit __ by September 30?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- SB Energy IPO by which date?
- How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by which date?
- Will the cap on gambling loss reduction be repealed?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de When will the Tesla Cybertruck product line be discontinued??
- A Manifold Markets cota 2026 em 31% em 11 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando When will the Tesla Cybertruck product line be discontinued? é resolvido?
- When will the Tesla Cybertruck product line be discontinued? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2031.
- Como When will the Tesla Cybertruck product line be discontinued? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution Criteria