Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualBefore 2030 94.5%+12.2ptLíder entre 4 opções
Previsores
7
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+12.2 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 15 horas
Desatualizado12/11/25, 12:20 UTC2/02/30, 12:12 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Super Smash Bros. Melee come to Nintendo Switch Online before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Nintendo announce a new mainline Super Smash Bros. game before Jan 1st 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhat year will the next Super Smash Bros. game be released?
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PolymarketWill Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
PolymarketPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiRegras
A remake / deluxe re-release / remaster / switch 2 edition / port / virtual console release / etc. of an older game doesn't count - it has to be a new game.
- This is a cumulative market, and each answer resolves independently, so e.g. if it releases in 2028 sometime, "the named outcome" and "the named outcome" will resolve NO, and the others will resolve Yes.
Mercados abertos
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 319,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 98 mil
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,8 mi
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 mais resultados
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 80 mil
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 130,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 45,3 mil
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 4 mi
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de When will the next Super Smash Bros. game be released??
- A Manifold Markets cota Before 2030 em 95% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando When will the next Super Smash Bros. game be released? é resolvido?
- When will the next Super Smash Bros. game be released? deverá ser resolvido em 2 de fevereiro de 2030.
- Como When will the next Super Smash Bros. game be released? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: A remake / deluxe re-release / remaster / switch 2 edition / port / virtual console release / etc. of an older game doesn't count - it has to be a new game.