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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. China
  3. When will the Long March 10 rocket first reach orbit? (Quarters)
Manifold Markets

When will the Long March 10 rocket first reach orbit? (Quarters)

ChinaCustom3a
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSem KYC
Previsão da comunidade atual
Manifold Markets
2026 Q1 1.1%
Líder entre 9 opções
Previsores

5

Tipo de pergunta

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado anteontem

Desatualizado
19/08/25, 11:5731/12/29, 23:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

2026 Q11%

Regras

The Long March 10 is an evolution of the Long March 5 and is primarily intended to enable China's crewed lunar landings.

Manifold Markets
  • This question includes the Long March 10A.
  • Update 2026-01-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Whether Long March 10B will be included in this market depends on whether it is genuinely the same rocket with a different engine and fuel package, or a new rocket with the same name.
  • The creator will make this determination when more information becomes available.
  • Update 2026-02-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market now includes the Long March 10B variant.

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Regras

The Long March 10 is an evolution of the Long March 5 and is primarily intended to enable China's crewed lunar landings.

Manifold Markets
  • This question includes the Long March 10A.
  • Update 2026-01-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Whether Long March 10B will be included in this market depends on whether it is genuinely the same rocket with a different engine and fuel package, or a new rocket with the same name.
  • The creator will make this determination when more information becomes available.
  • Update 2026-02-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market now includes the Long March 10B variant.