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What's an unconventional opinion or idea that you've encountered which most people might not agree with? [UNLINKED]
Society & Culture
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Prediction markets are good 91.4%Líder entre 75 opções
Previsores
71
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 horas
DesatualizadoTendências
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This is inspired by @firstuserhere's market @/firstuserhere/what-do-you-believe-that-few-other
- Less than a day after it was created, the new option for unlinked free response questions was created.
- Since that market is meant to gauge what people think on a bunch of independent questions, the unlinked format would have worked better for it, so I decided to make one myself (with permission).
- The only difference between this market and the original is the market type and what options are on it.
- Like with his, this never resolves, it is just a way to see what Manifold thinks of each belief.
- Submit any belief that you think is controversial or non-mainstream, especially one that is novel or interesting.
Mercados abertos
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64+6.0pt47.6%
- 65-89+5.0pt28.6%
- <40-3.0pt15.2%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 35,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 11,8 mil
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No99%
- Yes-67.0pt1%
- Volume total
- € 10,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 7,4 mil
KALSHIWill NJ Transit rail on-time performance reach 90% in November?
- No87%
- Yes+1.0pt13%
- Volume total
- € 8,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 1,5 mil
POLYMARKETWill Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- No-2.0pt76%
- Yes+2.0pt24%
- Volume total
- € 14,1 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 608,1
FORECASTEXWill Massachusetts Institute of Technology rank first overall in 2027?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Volume total
- € 515,7
- Volume 24h
- € 515,7
FORECASTEXWill Princeton University rank first overall in 2027?
- Yes85%
- No15%
- Volume total
- € 515,7
- Volume 24h
- € 515,7
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de What's an unconventional opinion or idea that you've encountered which most people might not agree with? [UNLINKED]?
- A Manifold Markets cota Prediction markets are good em 91% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Como What's an unconventional opinion or idea that you've encountered which most people might not agree with? [UNLINKED] é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This is inspired by @firstuserhere's market @/firstuserhere/what-do-you-believe-that-few-other