Were there less than 7 billion people in the world on January 11, 2026? [resolves to 2027 poll]
One-OffSociety & Culture4mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 94.2%
Previsores
6
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 17 horas
Desatualizado11/01/26, 19:51 UTC2/02/27, 23:59 UTC
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Shortly after market close, I will create a Manifold poll, open for a week, on the question "Were there less than 7 billion people in the world on January 11, 2026?" with the answers "Yes", "No", and "Not sure/see results".
- If there are more Yes answers than No answers, this market resolves YES.
- If there are more No answers than Yes answers, this market resolves NO.
- A tie resolves 50/50.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Were there less than 7 billion people in the world on January 11, 2026? [resolves to 2027 poll]?
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 94% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Were there less than 7 billion people in the world on January 11, 2026? [resolves to 2027 poll] é resolvido?
- Were there less than 7 billion people in the world on January 11, 2026? [resolves to 2027 poll] deverá ser resolvido em 2 de fevereiro de 2027.
- Como Were there less than 7 billion people in the world on January 11, 2026? [resolves to 2027 poll] é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Shortly after market close, I will create a Manifold poll, open for a week, on the question "Were there less than 7 billion people in the world on January 11, 2026?" with the answers "Yes", "No", and "Not sure/see results".