Were there less than 7 billion people in the world on January 11, 2026? [resolves to 2027 poll]
One-OffSociedade e cultura3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 94.2%
Previsores
6
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 22 horas
Desatualizado11/01/26, 19:51 UTC2/02/27, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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Shortly after market close, I will create a Manifold poll, open for a week, on the question "Were there less than 7 billion people in the world on January 11, 2026?" with the answers "Yes", "No", and "Not sure/see results".
- If there are more Yes answers than No answers, this market resolves YES.
- If there are more No answers than Yes answers, this market resolves NO.
- A tie resolves 50/50.