US fertility rate in 2030 >= 1.7 if (and only if) Taylor Swift announces a pregnancy by 2029?
One-OffSociedade e cultura4a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 26 de out. de 2026, 17:17 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atualNão 50.8%
Previsores
18
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 minutos
27/08/25, 03:32 UTC1/03/31, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
US Total Fertility Rate in 2030?
Manifold MarketsTaylor Swift announces pregnancy before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill US fertility rates go above 2 births per woman before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the US fertility rate surpass 2.1 for any year in the next decade?
Manifold MarketsTaylor Swift monthly listeners hits __ by October 31?
PolymarketTaylor Swift: Highest daily view count (October 19, 2026 - October 25, 2026)
KalshiRegras
Resolves exactly according to these underlying markets:
- [markets]Biconditional defined in the usual fashion: this question resolves yes if both events happen or neither, no if exactly one happens.