This is my 47th day. I have 16 referrals to Manifold Markets. Will I have 20 by August 4, 2026 (8/4/26)?
One-OffManifold MarketsFechadoSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: Yes (58.7%)
Resolvido: 31 de jul. de 2026, 13:15
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Previsão da comunidade atualSim 58.7%
Previsores
4
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 dias
Desatualizado9/07/26, 19:5831/07/26, 13:15
Tendências
58.7%
41.3%
Regras
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the creator's Manifold Markets account has accumulated 20 or more total referrals by August 4, 2026, at 11:59 PM PDT.
- It resolves to NO if the total referral count is 19 or fewer at that deadline.
- The creator will resolve this market using the referral stats page on their Manifold account.
- The creator has been a Manifold user for 47 days and has successfully referred 16 users to the platform.
- They need 4 more referrals to reach their target of 20 by the deadline of August 4, 2026.