Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 87.8%
Previsores
13
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 horas
Desatualizado26/01/26, 10:48 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsRihanna confirmed pregnant in 2026?
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KalshiRegras
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if a single credited to Rihanna reaches #1 on the Billboard Hot 100, the pre-eminent singles chart in the United States, at any point during 2026.
- The single must be released or debut on the chart during the 2026 calendar year.
- Resolution will be verified via Billboard's official Hot 100 chart.
- Rihanna has not put out any new music for nine years – with her last album Anti coming out in 2016.
- She released "Friend of Mine" on May 16, 2025, a single for the Smurfs movie soundtrack.
Mercados abertos
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 319,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 98 mil
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,8 mi
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 mais resultados
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 80 mil
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 130,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 45,3 mil
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 4 mi
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Rihanna scores a billboard number 1 single in 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 88% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Rihanna scores a billboard number 1 single in 2026? é resolvido?
- Rihanna scores a billboard number 1 single in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Rihanna scores a billboard number 1 single in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria