Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 59.9%
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16
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 14 horas
Desatualizado2/11/23, 00:34 UTC2/01/30, 05:00 UTC
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KalshiRegras
Will New York City experience a hurricane by 2030?
- Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
- (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/7790/?theme=dark)Resolution criteria
- This question will resolve positive if before 2030, credible media reports indicate that there have been sustained hurricane-force winds of at least 33 meters per second for one minute at 10m above the surface of some point within the city limits of New York City
- Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
- Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically.
Mercados abertos
WeatherKALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 11, 2026?
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KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 11, 2026?
- 86° or above78.8%
- 84° to 85°14.4%
- 82° to 83°3.9%
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KALSHIWhat will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?
- Fay38%
- Gonzalo-7.0pt23%
- Isaias+5.0pt21%
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KALSHIHighest temperature in Chicago on Sep 11, 2026?
- 80° to 81°48.5%
- 82° to 83°34%
- 78° to 79°10.7%
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KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 11, 2026?
- 79° to 80°46.1%
- 81° to 82°32.7%
- 78° or below17.3%
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- € 21,7 mil
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 11, 2026?
- 90° to 91°51.9%
- 88° to 89°27.9%
- 92° to 93°14.4%
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- Volume total
- € 20,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 20,2 mil
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de [Metaculus] Will New York City experience a hurricane by 2030??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 60% em 11 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando [Metaculus] Will New York City experience a hurricane by 2030? é resolvido?
- [Metaculus] Will New York City experience a hurricane by 2030? deverá ser resolvido em 2 de janeiro de 2030.
- Como [Metaculus] Will New York City experience a hurricane by 2030? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Will New York City experience a hurricane by 2030?