Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 2 de nov. de 2026, 02:03 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atualNão 75.2%
Previsores
16
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado ontem
Desatualizado2/11/23, 00:34 UTC2/01/30, 05:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Dubai have more skyscrapers than New York City in February 2030?
Manifold MarketsSecond place in 2029 New York City Mayoral election?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2029 New York City mayoral election?
Manifold MarketsBy which year will there be self-driving cars in New York City?
Manifold MarketsHighest temperature in New York City on Nov 2, 2026?
KalshiLowest temperature in New York City on Nov 2, 2026?
KalshiRegras
Will New York City experience a hurricane by 2030?
- Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
- (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/7790/?theme=dark)Resolution criteria
- This question will resolve positive if before 2030, credible media reports indicate that there have been sustained hurricane-force winds of at least 33 meters per second for one minute at 10m above the surface of some point within the city limits of New York City
- Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
- Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically.
