Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual@TheAllMemeingEye 42.9%Líder entre 6 opções
Previsores
5
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 15 horas
Desatualizado27/01/26, 15:24 UTC31/12/26, 15:20 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
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KalshiRegras
This will resolve to the user who sent the highest total of donations through @wasabipesto 's donation program by the time their market about the program's total closes:
- https://manifold.markets/wasabipesto/how-much-will-i-donate-to-charity-a?r=QWxleGFuZGVyVGhlR3JlYXRlcg
- If Wasabipesto's market gets extended, so does this market.
- Resolution will be based on information shared by Wasabipesto on their market.
- I highly encourage anyone to add themselves as an option and donate through Wasabipesto to drive their odds up!
- Update 2026-01-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator is proposing to count all donations posted and verified on the linked market, regardless of which user facilitated the donation (not just donations made directly through Wasabipesto).
Mercados abertos
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64-0.5pt45.5%
- 65-89+1.5pt27.7%
- <40-3.5pt15.8%
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- Volume total
- € 30,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 18 mil
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No90%
- Yes-70.0pt10%
- Volume total
- € 8,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 7,7 mil
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Volume total
- € 15,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 952,2
FORECASTEXWill Massachusetts Institute of Technology rank first overall in 2027?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Volume total
- € 516,1
- Volume 24h
- € 516,1
FORECASTEXWill Princeton University rank first overall in 2027?
- Yes85%
- No15%
- Volume total
- € 516,1
- Volume 24h
- € 516,1
POLYMARKETPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- No+2.5pt81.2%
- Yes-2.5pt18.8%
- Volume total
- € 136,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 419
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- US test scores in Math in 2026?
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- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
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- Major news story in Sep 2026?
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Largest donor on Wasabipesto's charity program?
- A Manifold Markets cota @TheAllMemeingEye em 43% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Largest donor on Wasabipesto's charity program é resolvido?
- Largest donor on Wasabipesto's charity program deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Largest donor on Wasabipesto's charity program é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This will resolve to the user who sent the highest total of donations through @wasabipesto 's donation program by the time their market about the program's total closes: