Jason Arday leaves Cambridge before 2028
One-OffManifold MarketsFechadoSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: Yes (91.1%)
Resolvido: 5 de ago. de 2026, 19:48
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Previsão da comunidade atualSim 91.1%
Previsores
8
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 15 dias
Desatualizado3/08/26, 21:585/08/26, 19:48
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Yes91.1%
No8.900000000000006%
91.1%
8.9%
Regras
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Jason Arday is no longer employed by the University of Cambridge in any academic capacity (including as a professor, lecturer, or researcher) on or before December 31, 2027.
- The market resolves to NO if he remains employed by the University of Cambridge as of December 31, 2027.
- Source of Truth: Employment status will be verified using the official University of Cambridge Faculty of Education staff directory or via official statements from the University of Cambridge and major reputable news outlets (such as The Guardian, The Telegraph, or Times Higher Education).
- Leaves of Absence: If Professor Arday is on a temporary sabbatical, suspension, or medical leave of absence but remains officially on the university payroll, the market resolves to NO.
- Termination/Resignation: If he permanently leaves his role due to resignation, termination, retirement, or transfer to another institution, the market resolves to YES.
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Jason Arday leaves Cambridge before 2028?
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 91% em 6 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando Jason Arday leaves Cambridge before 2028 é resolvido?
- Jason Arday leaves Cambridge before 2028 deverá ser resolvido em 5 de agosto de 2026.
- Como Jason Arday leaves Cambridge before 2028 é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria