Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 53%
Previsores
11
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 horas
Desatualizado3/10/25, 03:23 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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Manifold MarketsWhat will NYC subway average weekday ridership be in October 2026?
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KalshiRegras
I live in Toronto right now but I might move to Montreal in 2026.
- Resolution criteria
- Resolves YES if I spend at least 60 nights sleeping in Montreal between Jan 1, 2026 00:00 ET and Dec 31, 2026 23:59 ET. “Montreal” means any municipality on the Island of Montreal (e.g., Ville de Montréal, Westmount, Côte‑Saint‑Luc, etc.).
- Nights need not be consecutive.
- A “night” counts if I go to sleep in Montreal and wake up there (travel days count based on where I sleep).
- Resolves to YES once the 60th night is reached; otherwise resolves NO if there is no way it could resolve YES (even if I spent every future night of the year in Montreal).
Mercados abertos
Society & CultureKALSHIWhat will NYC subway average weekday ridership be in October 2026?
- Above 4.1 million94%
- Above 4.2 million91%
- Above 4.3 million-2.0pt59%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 40 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 3,2 mil
KALSHIWill the Kennedy Center be demolished in 2026?
- No94%
- Yes-3.0pt6%
- Volume total
- € 9,9 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 1,3 mil
KALSHIMaine lobster landings in 2026
- Above 55 million pounds94%
- Above 65 million pounds84%
- Above 70 million pounds66%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 16 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 512,8
POLYMARKETWill Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- No-2.0pt73%
- Yes+2.0pt27%
- Volume total
- € 21,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 324,3
KALSHIUS test scores in Math in 2026?
- Significant decrease+19.0pt61.3%
- No significant difference30.2%
- Significant increase-9.9pt8.5%
- Volume total
- € 51,1 mil
- Volume 24h
KALSHINew River Gorge recreation visits in 2026
- Above 1.7 million96%
- Above 1.8 million92%
- Above 1.9 million+1.0pt90%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 27,9 mil
- Volume 24h
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- Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de I live in Montreal for 60+ days in 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 53% em 20 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando I live in Montreal for 60+ days in 2026? é resolvido?
- I live in Montreal for 60+ days in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como I live in Montreal for 60+ days in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: I live in Toronto right now but I might move to Montreal in 2026.