Quais são as probabilidades atuais de How much BTC will Mt. Gox wallets hold on Nov 2, 2026, after the Oct 31 repayment deadline??

A Manifold Markets cota 33,000 BTC or more em 25% em 13 de outubro de 2026.

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How much BTC will Mt. Gox wallets hold on Nov 2, 2026, after the Oct 31 repayment deadline?

BitcoinOne-OffCripto Tesouraria corporativa Eventos corporativos19d

Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibrado

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33,000 BTC or more 25%

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Play-money forecasting platform

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Variação 7d

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Atualizado há 7 horas

Desatualizado

5/10/26, 17:35 UTC2/11/26, 12:00 UTC

Resultado24hProbabilidade

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Mt. Gox's bankruptcy trustee has a creditor repayment deadline of October 31, 2026 (Japan time).

That deadline has already been pushed back three times: from Oct 2023 to 2024, then 2025, then 2026, with the last extension announced Oct 27, 2025.
Wallets attributed to Mt. Gox still hold about 34,000–34,400 BTC (Arkham, late September 2026).
In June 2026 they moved about 10,400 BTC between their own addresses without the total going down.
Question: how much BTC will Mt. Gox-attributed wallets hold at the measurement time?
Measurement time: November 2, 2026, 12:00 UTC.

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BTC 15 min · $83,337.02 target

Yes84.5%
No15.5%

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Quais são as probabilidades atuais de How much BTC will Mt. Gox wallets hold on Nov 2, 2026, after the Oct 31 repayment deadline??: A Manifold Markets cota 33,000 BTC or more em 25% em 13 de outubro de 2026.
Quando How much BTC will Mt. Gox wallets hold on Nov 2, 2026, after the Oct 31 repayment deadline? é resolvido?: How much BTC will Mt. Gox wallets hold on Nov 2, 2026, after the Oct 31 repayment deadline? deverá ser resolvido em 2 de novembro de 2026.
Como How much BTC will Mt. Gox wallets hold on Nov 2, 2026, after the Oct 31 repayment deadline? é liquidado?: A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Mt. Gox's bankruptcy trustee has a creditor repayment deadline of October 31, 2026 (Japan time).

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How much BTC will Mt. Gox wallets hold on Nov 2, 2026, after the Oct 31 repayment deadline?

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