Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualAlabasta Saga 96.6%Líder entre 16 opções
Previsores
11
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado24/03/26, 00:12 UTC23/03/27, 22:02 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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Resolution criteria
- The market resolves based on the arcs that the Netflix live-action One Piece series covers before cancellation or conclusion.
- Season 1 covered the East Blue Saga, and Season 2 (released March 10, 2026) covers Loguetown through the Drum Island Arc.
- Resolution will be determined by the highest arc/saga completed and aired on Netflix.
- After two seasons, the live-action adaptation has covered 154 chapters of the original manga, representing roughly 13% of the total story.
- Creator Eiichiro Oda has confirmed that the live-action version has an intended endpoint.
Mercados abertos
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 319,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 98 mil
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,8 mi
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 mais resultados
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 80 mil
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 130,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 45,3 mil
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 4 mi
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- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de How far will the live-action One Piece go??
- A Manifold Markets cota Alabasta Saga em 97% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando How far will the live-action One Piece go? é resolvido?
- How far will the live-action One Piece go? deverá ser resolvido em 23 de março de 2027.
- Como How far will the live-action One Piece go? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria