Previsão da comunidade atual
Não 79.7%
Previsores
6
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado9/11/23, 22:36 UTC30/11/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
Nadine Dorries' new book claims that, amongst other things, "A shadowy cabal, Dorries calls ‘the movement’, has been pulling strings in the Conservative party for years" and "a very frightening individual I have codenamed Dr No [...] frequently plotted against Johnson and is now grooming Kemi Badenoch for Tory leader".
- My current position on these allegations are that they're made by someone who doesn't have the strongest grip on the facts of reality and has suddenly found herself out of a job and with a need to make some cash quickly.
- Resolves YES at market close if I believe that the allegations as presented are broadly true if somewhat overdramatised.
- Otherwise resolves NO.
- If I'm not confident either way then I will resolve to my % credence that the claims are true.
- As this is an opinion market I will not bet.
