By 2030, will I have strong regrets about having created some market about an aspect of my personal life?
One-OffSociedade e cultura3aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 26 de out. de 2026, 04:15 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atualNão 75%
Previsores
10
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado11/06/23, 06:01 UTC1/01/30, 07:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
Roughly, for a regret to be strong should mean that I feel that I would counterfactually prefer that I had never discovered Manifold.
- I'll go more by how I feel than a reasoned analysis of the exact impacts (though of course the reasoned analysis will affect how I feel).
- Feel free to ask about hypotheticals, and I'll try to answer whether I would count those as a strong regret.
- I won't bet on this market.
- To avoid any potential moral hazard caused by this market, regret does not count if it seems fairly likely that it was due to the actions of someone trying to manipuate this market.
