Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualGambling losses deduction remains limited to 90% as laid out in OBBB 66%Líder entre 8 opções
Previsores
4
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 horas
Desatualizado14/07/25, 14:29 UTC15/04/27, 22:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?
PolymarketWill the cap on gambling loss deduction be changed?
KalshiSports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?
PolymarketWill Colorado's AI rules take effect before February 2027?
KalshiEpstein files prop bets (ADD YOURS)
Manifold MarketsTomodachi Life: Living the Dream prop bets [Add Answers!]
Manifold MarketsRegras
Inspired by this Money Stuff column: One sentence of the 940-page [‘One Big Beautiful Bill Act’ passed last week] says gamblers can deduct only 90 percent of their annual losses, instead of 100 percent, which has been the norm.
- This has created a funny situation where sports predicting on markets like Kalshi is taxed as capital gains but sports betting on a traditional book like draftkings gets unfavorable treatment around deducting losses.
- All questions resolve on tax day 2027 unless otherwise stated.
- I'm open to moving the resolution date if something legal development is likely to get decided soon after.
- I'm interested in the short term impacts not the long term, so anything pending would have to apply to the 2026 tax year.
- If legal action takes place before resolution, I'll leave these open for some time to account for appeals.