KalshiFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: Transgender (99%)
Resolvido: 24 de ago. de 2026, 19:56
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Resultado Vencedor
Transgender
A 7 dias
—
A 24 horas
—
Aviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 24 de ago. de 2026, 19:30 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
Transgender 99%Líder entre 27 opções
Qualidade do mercado
44 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
308,7 mil €
Liquidez
252,3 mil €
Alta liquidezDados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado24/08/26, 12:208/09/26, 14:00
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Biden1%
Iran (3+ times)1%
Crypto / Bitcoin8%
Fake News1%
Afford / Affordable / Affordability1%
Transgender50%
Tuition1%
Big Beautiful Bill91%
Private School1%
America First1%
Melania38%
Teacher / Teachers60%
Fraud1%
Ceasefire12%
AI / Artificial Intelligence99%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline1%
Tariff1%
Event does not qualify5%
MAGA / Make America Great Again1%
Scholarship82%
Radical Left34%
Hormuz1%
Election1%
China / Chinese24%
Tax Credit / Tax Cut64%
Democrat79%
Barack Hussein Obama1%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Regras
If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- How this is resolved Video of the Rose Garden Event using the live broadcast or stream.
- If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Rose Garden Event will be used.
- Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
- Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity.
