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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. IA
  3. Top AI model this week?
Top AI model this week?

Top AI model this week?

19.0% (24h)IA
KalshiKalshiFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa

Este mercado foi resolvido: claude-opus-4-6-thinking (99%)

Resolvido: 30 de mai. de 2026, 15:50

Resultado Vencedor

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

A 7 dias

—

A 24 horas

—

Probabilidade implícita atual
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-opus-4-6-thinking 99%+19.0%
Líder entre 10 opções
Qualidade do mercado

63 / 100

Qualidade média
Volume 24h

428,9 €

Liquidez

550,9 €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

99.0% / 100.0%

Spread

1.0%

Spread apertado
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 13 dias

Desatualizado
23/05/26, 17:0030/05/26, 14:00

Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade

claude-opus-4-6-thinking99%
claude-opus-4-61%
claude-opus-4-7-thinking1%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview1%
gpt-5.5-high1%
claude-opus-4-71%
gemini-3-pro1%
muse-spark1%
ernie-5.1-preview1%
qwen3.5-max-preview1%
0%25%50%75%100%29 de mai.30 de mai.30 de mai.
Resultado24hProbabilidade
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
+19.0%
99%
claude-opus-4-6
claude-opus-4-6
-3.0%
1%
claude-opus-4-7-thinking
claude-opus-4-7-thinking
1%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
1%
gpt-5.5-high
gpt-5.5-high
1%
claude-opus-4-7
claude-opus-4-7
1%

Este mercado fechou. O trading simulado só está disponível em mercados abertos.

Regras

If claude-opus-4-6-thinking is the top-ranked AI model on May 30, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win.
  • If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win.
  • If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.
  • Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
  • If claude-opus-4-6 is the top-ranked AI model on May 30, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Mercados Relacionados

Top AI model in this week

Top AI model in this week

244,4 €
claude-opus-4-6-thinking: 99%KalshiKALSHI
Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

182,7 mil €
Anthropic: 87%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

103,2 mil €
↑$1.0T: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

What will be the best FrontierMath Tier 4 score by Dec 31, 2026?

56,3 mil €
<30%: 0.4%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2028?

44,3 mil €
Sim: 96.4%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

33 mil €
Anthropic: 90%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$63,768.48+0.04%EthereumETH$1,673.15-0.35%SolanaSOL$67.40+0.37%DogecoinDOGE$0.0873+0.58%BNBBNB$604.52-0.34%XRPXRP$1.14-0.07%

Notícias Relacionadas

Anthropic launches Claude Fable 5 with new safeguardsCrypto NewsEU orders Meta to restore WhatsApp access for rival AI chatbotsCrypto NewsJPMorgan plans longer-running AI agents for corporate workflows Crypto NewsOpenAI Files for IPO, Targets Valuation Up to $850BBlockchain.NewsOpenAI confidentially files to go public in the USCointelegraphNvidia expands South Korean AI partnerships across chips, cloud, and robotics Crypto News

Regras

If claude-opus-4-6-thinking is the top-ranked AI model on May 30, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win.
  • If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win.
  • If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.
  • Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
  • If claude-opus-4-6 is the top-ranked AI model on May 30, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.