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Dados de 7 de nov. de 2026, 17:11 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Ponto médio do livro selecionado
Between 49 and 55 million · —
A carregar o livro selecionado…
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Preço registado
Between 49 and 55 million 81.5%Líder entre 6 opções
Between 49 and 55 million 81.5%Qualidade do mercado
34 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
3,6 mil €
Contratos em aberto
6,9 mil US$
Contratos em aberto: médioCompra / Venda
— / —
Between 49 and 55 millionSpread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado1/09/26, 18:00 UTC4/12/26, 15:00 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · Between 49 and 55 million
A carregar o livro selecionado…
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KalshiRegras
If the preseason total run forecast issued by ADF&G for Bristol Bay sockeye salmon for the 2027 season is above 55 million fish, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Alaska Department of Fish and Game
- The relevant figure is the Bristol Bay-wide aggregate point estimate shown in the “Forecast” column on the row labeled “Total run.” The separate “Inshore Run” figure will not be used. The market also will not use the forecast range or prediction interval, escapement, harvestable-surplus figures, individual river or district forecasts, or the actual observed 2027 run. Only ADF&G’s initial non-preliminary preseason forecast will be used. In-season estimates, postseason run reconstructions, and revisions made after expiration will not affect resolution. If ADF&G provides only a forecast range without a point estimate, the midpoint of that range will be used. If ADF&G does not use the label “Total run,” the functionally equivalent Bristol Bay-wide figure, "projected total catch plus projected total escapement", will be used.
Regras de cada resultado
- Between 49 and 55 million
- If the preseason total run forecast issued by ADF&G for Bristol Bay sockeye salmon for the 2027 season is between 49 million and 55 million fish, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 55 million
- If the preseason total run forecast issued by ADF&G for Bristol Bay sockeye salmon for the 2027 season is above 55 million fish, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Between 43 and 48.99 million
- If the preseason total run forecast issued by ADF&G for Bristol Bay sockeye salmon for the 2027 season is between 43 million and 48.99 million fish, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Below 29 million
- If the preseason total run forecast issued by ADF&G for Bristol Bay sockeye salmon for the 2027 season is below 29 million fish, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Between 37 and 42.99 million
- If the preseason total run forecast issued by ADF&G for Bristol Bay sockeye salmon for the 2027 season is between 37 million and 42.99 million fish, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Between 29 and 36.99 million
- If the preseason total run forecast issued by ADF&G for Bristol Bay sockeye salmon for the 2027 season is between 29 million and 36.99 million fish, then the market resolves to Yes.