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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Política
  3. Who will win the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?
Who will win the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?

Who will win the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?

91.3% (24h)One-OffPolíticaEleição
KalshiKalshiFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa

Este mercado foi resolvido: Oh Se-hoon (100%)

Resolvido: 4 de jun. de 2026, 18:20

Resultado Vencedor

Oh Se-hoon

A 7 dias

—

A 24 horas

10%

Surpresa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Oh Se-hoon
Oh Se-hoon 100%+91.3%
Líder entre 6 opções
Qualidade do mercado

63 / 100

Qualidade média
Volume 24h

1,4 mil €

Liquidez

1,1 mil €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

99.3% / 99.9%

Spread

0.6%

Spread apertado
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 8 dias

Desatualizado
16/12/25, 15:003/06/27, 14:00

Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade

Chong Won-o1%
Oh Se-hoon3%
Park Ju-min1%
0%25%50%75%100%2 de jun.3 de jun.4 de jun.
Resultado24hProbabilidade
Chong Won-o
Chong Won-o
-93.4%
1%
Park Ju-min
Park Ju-min
-2.4%
1%
Oh Se-hoon
Oh Se-hoon
+91.3%
100%
Na Kyung-won
Na Kyung-won
0%
Seo Young-kyo
Seo Young-kyo
0%
Kim Min-seok
Kim Min-seok
0%

Este mercado fechou. O trading simulado só está disponível em mercados abertos.

Regras

If Oh Se-hoon wins the 2026 Seoul mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.
  • The market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority.
  • Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction.
  • In cases of competing claims (two presidents, disputed succession), the individual recognized by the hierarchical majority of Source Agencies prevails.
  • The market remains open until the rescheduled election or two years from the original date, whichever comes first.

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Regras

If Oh Se-hoon wins the 2026 Seoul mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.
  • The market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority.
  • Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction.
  • In cases of competing claims (two presidents, disputed succession), the individual recognized by the hierarchical majority of Source Agencies prevails.
  • The market remains open until the rescheduled election or two years from the original date, whichever comes first.