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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Política
  3. What will Marco Rubio say during the State Department Budget Hearing?
What will Marco Rubio say during the State Department Budget Hearing?

What will Marco Rubio say during the State Department Budget Hearing?

24.0% (24h)Política
KalshiKalshiFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa

Este mercado foi resolvido: Hormuz (99%)

Resolvido: 2 de jun. de 2026, 18:33

Resultado Vencedor

Hormuz

A 7 dias

—

A 24 horas

—

Probabilidade implícita atual
Trump (5+ times)
Trump (5+ times) 1%-24.0%
Líder entre 20 opções
Qualidade do mercado

56 / 100

Qualidade média
Volume 24h

2,7 mil €

Liquidez

2,6 mil €

Liquidez média
Compra / Venda

- / 1.0%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 10 dias

Desatualizado
26/05/26, 23:0017/06/26, 14:00

Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade

Trump (5+ times)1%
Democrat1%
Event does not qualify1%
Hormuz99%
Tariff1%
Board of Peace22%
Climate1%
2028 / Campaign1%
Palestine / Gaza 99%
Embassy72%
AI / Artificial Intelligence99%
Israel / Israeli84%
NATO75%
Nuclear99%
Cuba / Cuban99%
China / Chinese99%
Ukraine75%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline99%
Ceasefire99%
Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation99%
0%25%50%75%100%2 de jun.2 de jun.2 de jun.
Resultado24hProbabilidade
Trump (5+ times)
Trump (5+ times)
-24.0%
1%
Democrat
Democrat
-40.0%
1%
Event does not qualify
Event does not qualify
-3.0%
1%
Hormuz
Hormuz
+20.0%
99%
Tariff
Tariff
-42.0%
1%
Board of Peace
Board of Peace
+62.0%
99%

Este mercado fechou. O trading simulado só está disponível em mercados abertos.

Regras

If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Video of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee State Department Budget Hearing will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee State Department Budget Hearing will be used.
  • Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
  • Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
  • Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
  • For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.

Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro

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Notícias Relacionadas

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Regras

If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Video of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee State Department Budget Hearing will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee State Department Budget Hearing will be used.
  • Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
  • Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
  • Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
  • For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.