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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Política
  3. KY-04 Republican primary: voter turnout
KY-04 Republican primary: voter turnout

KY-04 Republican primary: voter turnout

PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsEleição
KalshiKalshiFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa

Este mercado foi resolvido: Above 100k (99%)

Resolvido: 9 de jun. de 2026, 00:57

Resultado Vencedor

Above 100k

A 7 dias

—

A 24 horas

—

Probabilidade implícita atual
Above 100k
Above 100k 99%
Líder entre 9 opções
Qualidade do mercado

49 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

0,2 €

Liquidez

1,2 mil €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

99.0% / 100.0%

Spread

1.0%

Spread apertado
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 4 dias

Desatualizado
16/04/26, 14:0019/05/27, 14:00

Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade

Above 110k1%
Above 130k1%
0%25%50%75%100%7 de jun.8 de jun.8 de jun.
Resultado24hProbabilidade
Above 100k
Above 100k
99%
Above 50k
Above 50k
99%
Above 60k
Above 60k
99%
Above 70k
Above 70k
99%
Above 80k
Above 80k
99%
Above 90k
Above 90k
99%

Este mercado fechou. O trading simulado só está disponível em mercados abertos.

Regras

If the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary is above 50000, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority.
  • Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification.
  • In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority.
  • The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals.
  • Preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify.

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Regras

If the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary is above 50000, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority.
  • Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification.
  • In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority.
  • The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals.
  • Preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify.