KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Lupita Nyong'o 74%Líder entre 9 opções
Qualidade do mercado
29 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
3,1 €
Baixa liquidezSpread
8.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 minutos
11/08/26, 21:53 UTC31/08/29, 14:00 UTC
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Next Black Panther film: Main protagonist
KalshiWill Black Panther 3 be delayed?
KalshiAt which MTG Pro Tour will I next register a Constructed Magic deck where Black is a base color?
Manifold MarketsAgent 007 (after "No Time To Die") to be Black?
FutuurJames Bond (after "No Time To Die") to be Black?
FutuurWill manifold markets be referenced in a black mirror episode by EOY 2027
Manifold MarketsRegras
If the named outcome performs/ is announced as any role as an actor in Black Panther 3, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Marvel
- For the purposes of this Contract, the named outcome satisfies the Payout Criterion if either:
- Official Announcement: the named outcome is officially announced, confirmed, or publicly credited as cast to perform any role as an actor in Black Panther 3, regardless of whether the performance ultimately occurs; OR
- Actual Performance: the named outcome appears on stage, on screen, or in recorded content as any role as an actor in any official performance, showing, or release of Black Panther 3.
- Additional clarification(s):
- If Black Panther 3 is entirely cancelled or abandoned before any official performance or release occurs, but the named outcome was officially announced in any role as an actor, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.”
Mercados abertos
Entertainment
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 342,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 91,2 mil
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 182,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 90,8 mil
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+25.1pt47.2%
- No Bond chosen-3.1pt18.9%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 mais resultados
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+8.0pt46%
- Jack Barton-4.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt18%
+27 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,8 mi
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 264,6 mil
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-53.0pt14%
- Above 50-56.0pt8%
- Above 55-48.0pt2%
+14 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 84,3 mil
- Big Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Steam: Weekly Top Seller
- Oscar Winner: Best Actor
- #2 US Spotify Song 2026
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Black Panther 3: Cast?
- A Kalshi cota Lupita Nyong'o em 74% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Black Panther 3: Cast é resolvido?
- Black Panther 3: Cast deverá ser resolvido em 31 de agosto de 2029.
- Como Black Panther 3: Cast é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the named outcome performs/ is announced as any role as an actor in Black Panther 3, then the market resolves to Yes.