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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Bonds & Treasuries
  3. Where will the 10 year US Treasury yield close this quarter?
Where will the 10 year US Treasury yield close this quarter?

Where will the 10 year US Treasury yield close this quarter?

Bonds & TreasuriesOne-Off19d
KalshiKalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
4.501% to 4.6%
4.501% to 4.6% 25%
Líder entre 7 opções
Qualidade do mercado

28 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

0,1 €

Liquidez

23,4 €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

18.0% / 25.0%

Spread

38.9%

Spread amplo
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 2 minutos

28/05/26, 14:0030/06/26, 21:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

4.501% to 4.6%25%

Regras

If the yield curve par rate for 10-year U.S. treasury notes is between 4.000-4.100 % on Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jun 30, 2026, or one week following Jun 30, 2026.
  • If the yield curve par rate for 10-year U.S. treasury notes is between 4.101-4.200 % on Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the yield curve par rate for 10-year U.S. treasury notes is between 4.201-4.300 % on Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the yield curve par rate for 10-year U.S. treasury notes is between 4.301-4.400 % on Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the yield curve par rate for 10-year U.S. treasury notes is between 4.401-4.500 % on Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro

BitcoinBTC$62,871.62+2.52%EthereumETH$1,658.53+1.90%SolanaSOL$65.29+1.89%

Mercados Relacionados

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

30,3 €
4.3%: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?

10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?

11,4 €
5.1% or above: 7%KalshiKALSHI
30Y US Treasury Yield at month-end?

30Y US Treasury Yield at month-end?

3,6 €
Above 4.95%: 69%KalshiKALSHI
Treasury 10-year yield on Jun 12, 2026?

Treasury 10-year yield on Jun 12, 2026?

1,7 €
4.53% to 4.55%: 14%KalshiKALSHI
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

0,9 €
Sim: 4%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Peak US National Debt before 2027?

Peak US National Debt before 2027?

0 €
$39 trillion: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Ativos nestes tópicos

DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.76%XRPXRP$1.12+0.73%BNBBNB$596.99+1.87%CardanoADA$0.1658+3.40%HyperliquidHYPE$55.72+0.77%LitecoinLTC$42.73+0.62%

Notícias Relacionadas

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Regras

If the yield curve par rate for 10-year U.S. treasury notes is between 4.000-4.100 % on Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jun 30, 2026, or one week following Jun 30, 2026.
  • If the yield curve par rate for 10-year U.S. treasury notes is between 4.101-4.200 % on Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the yield curve par rate for 10-year U.S. treasury notes is between 4.201-4.300 % on Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the yield curve par rate for 10-year U.S. treasury notes is between 4.301-4.400 % on Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the yield curve par rate for 10-year U.S. treasury notes is between 4.401-4.500 % on Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.