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  • Início
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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Política
  3. What will Gavin Newsom say during his CA election announcement?
What will Gavin Newsom say during his CA election announcement?

What will Gavin Newsom say during his CA election announcement?

Política
KalshiKalshiFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa

Este mercado foi resolvido: 2028 / Campaign (99%)

Resolvido: 28 de mai. de 2026, 00:44

Resultado Vencedor

2028 / Campaign

A 7 dias

—

A 24 horas

—

Probabilidade implícita atual
2028 / Campaign
2028 / Campaign 99%
Líder entre 15 opções
Qualidade do mercado

63 / 100

Qualidade média
Volume 24h

1,4 mil €

Liquidez

1,3 mil €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

99.0% / 100.0%

Spread

1.0%

Spread apertado
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 16 dias

Desatualizado
27/05/26, 20:0711/06/26, 14:00

Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade

2028 / Campaign99%
Afford / Affordable / Affordability1%
Republican1%
Corrupt / Corruption1%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline1%
Fraud1%
AI / Artificial Intelligence99%
Iran / Iranian1%
Trump (3+ times)99%
Redistrict / Redistricted / Redistricting99%
Event does not qualify1%
ID / Identification99%
Spencer / Pratt1%
Democracy99%
Karen / Bass1%
0%25%50%75%100%27 de mai.
Resultado24hProbabilidade
2028 / Campaign
2028 / Campaign
99%
Afford / Affordable / Affordability
Afford / Affordable / Affordability
1%
Republican
Republican
1%
Corrupt / Corruption
Corrupt / Corruption
1%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
1%
Fraud
Fraud
1%

Este mercado fechou. O trading simulado só está disponível em mercados abertos.

Regras

If Gavin Newsom says 2028 / Campaign as part of Governor Newsom announces new action to safeguard California’s elections, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Video of the Governor Newsom announces new action to safeguard California’s elections will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Governor Newsom announces new action to safeguard California’s elections will be used.
  • Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
  • Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
  • Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
  • For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.

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Regras

If Gavin Newsom says 2028 / Campaign as part of Governor Newsom announces new action to safeguard California’s elections, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Video of the Governor Newsom announces new action to safeguard California’s elections will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Governor Newsom announces new action to safeguard California’s elections will be used.
  • Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
  • Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
  • Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
  • For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.