KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
Above 0% · —
A carregar o livro selecionado…
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Preço registado
Above 0% 48.5%Líder entre 11 opções
Above 0% 48.5%Qualidade do mercado
24 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
96,9 €
Contratos em aberto
0 US$
Contratos em aberto: desconhecidoCompra / Venda
— / —
Above 0%Spread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 14 minutos
14/10/26, 15:00 UTC21/10/26, 10:59 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · Above 0%
A carregar o livro selecionado…
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KalshiRegras
If the percentage change in the seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first MBA Weekly Applications Survey release after market Issuance is above -4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Mortgage Bankers Association
- The Underlying is the first-published percentage change in MBA’s seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first new Weekly Applications Survey results release after market Issuance. All strikes use the same release, including strikes added later. The reported change is used directly, including holiday adjustments and regardless of the comparison period; no calculation is required. If separate changes are reported for multiple reference weeks, the latest reference week controls. Increases are positive, decreases negative, and unchanged is 0%. “Above” means strictly greater than the strike. Later revisions, corrections, and subsequent releases are ignored. If publication is delayed, trading remains closed pending the qualifying release, subject to the latest expiration and the contract’s missing-data provisions.
Regras de cada resultado
- Above 0%
- If the percentage change in the seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first MBA Weekly Applications Survey release after market Issuance is above 0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above -4%
- If the percentage change in the seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first MBA Weekly Applications Survey release after market Issuance is above -4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above -10%
- If the percentage change in the seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first MBA Weekly Applications Survey release after market Issuance is above -10%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above -8%
- If the percentage change in the seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first MBA Weekly Applications Survey release after market Issuance is above -8%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above -6%
- If the percentage change in the seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first MBA Weekly Applications Survey release after market Issuance is above -6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above -2%
- If the percentage change in the seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first MBA Weekly Applications Survey release after market Issuance is above -2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 2%
- If the percentage change in the seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first MBA Weekly Applications Survey release after market Issuance is above 2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4%
- If the percentage change in the seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first MBA Weekly Applications Survey release after market Issuance is above 4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 6%
- If the percentage change in the seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first MBA Weekly Applications Survey release after market Issuance is above 6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 8%
- If the percentage change in the seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first MBA Weekly Applications Survey release after market Issuance is above 8%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 10%
- If the percentage change in the seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first MBA Weekly Applications Survey release after market Issuance is above 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.
