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  1. Mercados de Previsão
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  3. Keir Starmer departure announced?
Keir Starmer departure announced?

Keir Starmer departure announced?

2.0% (24h)One-OffPolíticaEurope19d
KalshiKalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Before Jul 1, 2026
Before Jul 1, 2026 15%+2.0%
Líder entre 7 opções
Qualidade do mercado

44 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

118,1 €

Liquidez

6,2 mil €

Liquidez média
Compra / Venda

15.0% / 17.0%

Spread

13.3%

Spread amplo
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 1 minuto

5/02/26, 15:001/07/26, 3:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Before Jul 1, 202615%

Regras

If Keir Starmer has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom or has actually left as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • An "official announcement" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office.
  • Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official.
  • The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.
  • "Leaving office" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal.
  • Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office.

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Ativos nestes tópicos

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Regras

If Keir Starmer has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom or has actually left as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • An "official announcement" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office.
  • Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official.
  • The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.
  • "Leaving office" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal.
  • Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office.