KalshiFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: Socialism / Socialist (98%)
Resolvido: 11 de set. de 2026, 13:56
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Aviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 11 de set. de 2026, 13:20 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Socialism / Socialist98%
SAVE America Act / SAVE Act99%
Trump (3+ times)37%
Border79%
Tax Cut / Cut Tax79%
Election / Midterm80%
Democrat80%
Transgender1%
Immigrant / Immigration1%
Talarico1%
Supreme Court1%
Schumer1%
Shutdown / Shut Down60%
Event does not qualify1%
SAVE America Act / SAVE ActPerdeu
Trump (3+ times)Perdeu
BorderPerdeu
Tax Cut / Cut TaxPerdeu
Election / MidtermPerdeu
DemocratPerdeu
Socialism / SocialistGanhou
TransgenderPerdeu
Immigrant / ImmigrationPerdeu
TalaricoPerdeu
Supreme CourtPerdeu
SchumerPerdeu
Shutdown / Shut DownPerdeu
Event does not qualifyPerdeu
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Manifold MarketsRegras
Regras arquivadas no nível do evento. Os termos exatos de cada resultado não estão mais disponíveis.
If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- How this is resolved Video of the RNC Midterm Convention using the live broadcast or stream.
- If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the RNC Midterm Convention will be used.
- Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
- Mike Johnson speaking in an official capacity.