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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Regulamentação
  3. Will Japan lower its food consumption tax in 2026?
Will Japan lower its food consumption tax in 2026?

Will Japan lower its food consumption tax in 2026?

RegulamentaçãoYearlyEuropeMacro & Economy6m
KalshiKalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim
Sim 71%
Qualidade do mercado

40 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidez

13,3 €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

70.0% / 74.0%

Spread

5.7%

Spread moderado
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 2 minutos

20/01/26, 0:001/01/27, 4:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes71%

Regras

If Japan has agreed to or announced any reduction, suspension, or elimination of the current national 8% food consumption tax before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves formal signing of treaties, parliamentary approval with binding effect, official ratification, formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority, official statements by authorized ministers, official press releases, formal declarations during government proceedings, or official statements to international bodies.
  • Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory qualify.
  • Preliminary discussions, conditional agreements contingent on circumstances, opposition party statements, leaked documents, think-tank recommendations, campaign promises, general aspirations without specific commitment, draft legislation without approval, and regional actions (unless specified) do NOT qualify.
  • Retraction of previously announced commitments also does not satisfy the criterion.

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Regras

If Japan has agreed to or announced any reduction, suspension, or elimination of the current national 8% food consumption tax before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves formal signing of treaties, parliamentary approval with binding effect, official ratification, formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority, official statements by authorized ministers, official press releases, formal declarations during government proceedings, or official statements to international bodies.
  • Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory qualify.
  • Preliminary discussions, conditional agreements contingent on circumstances, opposition party statements, leaked documents, think-tank recommendations, campaign promises, general aspirations without specific commitment, draft legislation without approval, and regional actions (unless specified) do NOT qualify.
  • Retraction of previously announced commitments also does not satisfy the criterion.