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  • Início
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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Middle East
  3. Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (5/25 - 5/31)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (5/25 - 5/31)

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (5/25 - 5/31)

10.0% (24h)Middle EastOne-Off
KalshiKalshiFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa

Este mercado foi resolvido: Above 30 (99%)

Resolvido: 2 de jun. de 2026, 15:33

Resultado Vencedor

Above 30

A 7 dias

—

A 24 horas

28%

Surpresa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Above 40
Above 40 1%-10.0%
Líder entre 10 opções
Qualidade do mercado

40 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

536,5 €

Liquidez

1 mil €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

- / 100.0%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 11 dias

Desatualizado
27/05/26, 13:002/06/26, 13:00

Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade

Above 4010%
Above 501%
Above 3099%
Above 2554%
Above 1591%
Above 2072%
Above 1099%
Above 1001%
Above 751%
Above 599%
0%25%50%75%100%1 de jun.2 de jun.2 de jun.
Resultado24hProbabilidade
Above 40
Above 40
-10.0%
1%
Above 50
Above 50
-2.0%
1%
Above 30
Above 30
+62.0%
99%
Above 25
Above 25
+39.0%
99%
Above 15
Above 15
+2.0%
99%
Above 20
Above 20
+10.0%
99%

Este mercado fechou. O trading simulado só está disponível em mercados abertos.

Regras

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 5 from May 25, 2026 to May 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The total is calculated by summing daily counts from May 25, 2026 to May 31, 2026.
  • The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
  • If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 10 from May 25, 2026 to May 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 15 from May 25, 2026 to May 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 20 from May 25, 2026 to May 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Mercados Relacionados

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (6/8 - 6/14)

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Above 30: 31%KalshiKALSHI
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

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6,5 M €
December 31: 83%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
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Manifold Markets

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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? [Polymarket]

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Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$64,166.08+1.14%EthereumETH$1,679.46+0.79%SolanaSOL$67.86+1.58%DogecoinDOGE$0.0882+1.44%XRPXRP$1.15+1.59%BNBBNB$608.90+0.40%

Notícias Relacionadas

Bitcoin price tumbles after Trump orders military response to IranCrypto NewsBlackRock warns of energy shock as May CPI is set to show acceleration in inflationCoindeskThe Fed, Iran, and Saylor: anatomy of the June crypto crashCrypto NewsNo-win bets keep Iran regime change odds high as market eyes 2027Blockchain.NewsBitcoin pump to $63,700 triggers the most short liquidations since late AprilCoindeskMajor cryptocurrencies under pressure as oil jumps 3%Coindesk

Regras

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 5 from May 25, 2026 to May 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The total is calculated by summing daily counts from May 25, 2026 to May 31, 2026.
  • The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
  • If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 10 from May 25, 2026 to May 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 15 from May 25, 2026 to May 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 20 from May 25, 2026 to May 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.