KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximadaProbabilidade implícita atual74° or above 10%Líder entre 6 opções
Qualidade do mercado
36 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
661,7 €
Liquidez
654,7 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
5.0% / 8.0%
Spread
60.0%
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 minutos
15/07/26, 14:0017/07/26, 8:00
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
74° or above10%
Comparar plataformas· 68° to 69°
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMelhor no geral86% de correspondência · auto | Alta | 39% | — | 8,6 mil € | 47,7 mil € | há 13 minutos | Abrir → |
| KalshiEsta página | Baixa | 36% | — | 661,7 € | 654,7 € | há 13 minutos |
Também disponível em Polymarket
Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 16?
17h
39%
24%
21%
+8 mais resultados
100 • Alta qualidadeSpread apertadoAlta liquidezAlta ambiguidade
Volume total8,6 mil €
Volume 24h8,6 mil €
POLYMARKETRegras
If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jul 16, 2026, is less than 66° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "San Francisco Airport" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
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If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jul 16, 2026, is less than 66° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "San Francisco Airport" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.