KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximadaProbabilidade implícita atual75° or below 37%Líder entre 6 opções
Qualidade do mercado
61 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
8,1 mil €
Liquidez
7 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
36.0% / 45.0%
Spread
25.0%
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 16 minutos
12/07/26, 14:0014/07/26, 8:00
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
75° or below37%
Comparar plataformas· 75° or below
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMelhor no geral86% de correspondência · auto | Alta | 42% | — | 56,6 mil € | 48,7 mil € | há 4 minutos | Abrir → |
| KalshiEsta página | Média | 37% | — | 8,1 mil € | 7 mil € | há 16 minutos |
Também disponível em Polymarket
Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 13?
11h
42%
27%
21%
+8 mais resultados
77 • Alta qualidadeSpread desconhecidoAlta liquidezAlta ambiguidade
Volume total56,6 mil €
Volume 24h56,6 mil €
POLYMARKETRegras
If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jul 13, 2026, is less than 76° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "San Francisco Airport" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Tendência de volume
$9.2k12 de jul.2d de dados13 de jul.
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If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jul 13, 2026, is less than 76° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "San Francisco Airport" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.