KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
Above 4.5% · —
A carregar o livro selecionado…
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Preço registado
Above 4.5% 99%Líder entre 7 opções
Above 4.5% 99%Qualidade do mercado
17 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
2,7 €
Contratos em aberto
765,9 US$
Contratos em aberto: baixoCompra / Venda
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Above 4.5%Spread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 45 minutos
Atrasado4/10/26, 00:00 UTC30/10/26, 12:29 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · Above 4.5%
A carregar o livro selecionado…
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Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiRegras
If the year-over-year increase in U.S. private-industry employer health-benefit costs for September 2026 is above 6.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- This market uses the 12-month percentage change in health-benefit costs for private-industry workers published in the BLS Employment Cost Index, not seasonally adjusted and in current dollars. Q3 2026 refers to the 12 months ending September 2026, not the change during the quarter. Resolution uses the first officially published value at BLS’s reported precision. Subsequent revisions are ignored. This statistic measures national employer health-benefit cost growth, not a particular employer’s insurance premium renewal increase. Delayed or unavailable data will be handled under the governing contract.
Regras de cada resultado
- Above 4.5%
- If the year-over-year increase in U.S. private-industry employer health-benefit costs for September 2026 is above 4.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.0%
- If the year-over-year increase in U.S. private-industry employer health-benefit costs for September 2026 is above 5.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 6.0%
- If the year-over-year increase in U.S. private-industry employer health-benefit costs for September 2026 is above 6.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 6.5%
- If the year-over-year increase in U.S. private-industry employer health-benefit costs for September 2026 is above 6.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 7.0%
- If the year-over-year increase in U.S. private-industry employer health-benefit costs for September 2026 is above 7.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.5%
- If the year-over-year increase in U.S. private-industry employer health-benefit costs for September 2026 is above 5.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 7.5%
- If the year-over-year increase in U.S. private-industry employer health-benefit costs for September 2026 is above 7.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.