What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?
16.0 pts (24h)One-OffWeather2m
KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Hanna 37.6%+16.0ptLíder entre 21 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
78 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
11,7 mil €
Liquidez
293,8 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 minutos
15/05/26, 22:00 UTC1/12/26, 15:00 UTC
Tendências
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
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Manifold MarketsRegras
If a storm named Arthur is the first storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market resolves Yes for the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026.
- If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then all markets resolve to No. If a storm named Bertha is the first storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a storm named Cristobal is the first storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a storm named Dolly is the first storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
Mercados abertos
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year??
- A Kalshi cota Hanna em 37.6% em 25 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? é resolvido?
- What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If a storm named Arthur is the first storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Onde mais What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Polymarket.