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  3. What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?

What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?

One-OffWeather5m
KalshiKalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Gonzalo
Gonzalo 4%
Líder entre 21 opções
Qualidade do mercado

28 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

3,8 €

Liquidez

341 €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

3.0% / 4.0%

Spread

33.3%

Spread amplo
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 6 minutos

15/05/26, 22:001/12/26, 15:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Gonzalo4%

Regras

If a storm named Arthur is the first storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This market resolves Yes for the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026.
  • If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then all markets resolve to No.
  • If a storm named Bertha is the first storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If a storm named Cristobal is the first storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If a storm named Dolly is the first storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Regras

If a storm named Arthur is the first storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This market resolves Yes for the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026.
  • If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then all markets resolve to No.
  • If a storm named Bertha is the first storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If a storm named Cristobal is the first storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If a storm named Dolly is the first storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.