KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 58%
Qualidade do mercado
39 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
2,4 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
41.0% / 80.0%
Spread
39.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 minutos
20/08/26, 14:00 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
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If any federal court issues a preliminary or permanent injunction, vacatur, or stay halting all or part of the FCC's early ABC license renewal proceedings in ABC v.
Liquida via:U.S. District Court for the District of ColumbiaPACER (Public Access to Court Electronic Records)
- FCC, No. 1:26-cv-02902 (D.D.C.), any appeal, or any federal challenge to the April 2026 early renewal order before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The ruling must: Be issued by any federal court in ABC v.
- FCC, No. 1:26-cv-02902 (D.D.C.), an appeal of it, or a federal challenge to the April 2026 early renewal order Address the matter described by the specified judgment Be issued through a written order, opinion, judgment, or decision
- Partial relief counts.
- An order barring the Commission only from designating the ABC renewal applications for hearing resolves the market to YES.
Mercados abertos
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.0pt84.2%
- Yes-1.0pt15.8%
- Volume total
- € 12,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 90,5 mil
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+1.0pt86%
- November 30,84%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-2.0pt51%
- Before Oct 1, 202749%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-6.0pt41%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 4,8 mi
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 202754%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
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- Volume total
- € 877 mil
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt19.8%
- $1.75T–$2.0T+0.5pt18.9%
- $1.5T–$1.75T+0.1pt17.9%
+5 mais resultados
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 202795%
- Before Feb 1, 202793%
- Before Apr 1, 202792%
+9 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 6,5 mil
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- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by September 30?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will a court block the FCC's ABC license review in 2026??
- A Kalshi cota No em 58% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will a court block the FCC's ABC license review in 2026? é resolvido?
- Will a court block the FCC's ABC license review in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will a court block the FCC's ABC license review in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If any federal court issues a preliminary or permanent injunction, vacatur, or stay halting all or part of the FCC's early ABC license renewal proceedings in ABC v.