KalshiFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoLiquidado pelo provedor, mercado por mercado
Resolvido: 27 de out. de 2026, 03:12
Este evento não tem um único vencedor. O provedor liquidou cada mercado separadamente; cada mercado mostra seu próprio resultado.
Aviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 26 de out. de 2026, 21:51 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
7.7+15%
7.9+13%
8.0+9%
6.8+22%
7.0+60%
7.2+80%
7.2+Perdeu
7.5+Perdeu
7.7+Perdeu
7.9+Perdeu
7.8+Perdeu
7.6+Perdeu
8.0+Perdeu
7.1+Perdeu
7.3+Perdeu
7.0+Perdeu
6.8+Perdeu
6.9+Perdeu
7.4+Perdeu
Regras
Regras arquivadas no nível do evento. Os termos exatos de cada resultado não estão mais disponíveis.
If an earthquake with a magnitude at least 6.8 on the Moment Magnitude Scale occurs with its epicenter in worldwide before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:USGS
- If an earthquake with a magnitude at least 6.9 on the Moment Magnitude Scale occurs with its epicenter in worldwide before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If an earthquake with a magnitude at least 7.0 on the Moment Magnitude Scale occurs with its epicenter in worldwide before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If an earthquake with a magnitude at least 7.1 on the Moment Magnitude Scale occurs with its epicenter in worldwide before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If an earthquake with a magnitude at least 7.2 on the Moment Magnitude Scale occurs with its epicenter in worldwide before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If an earthquake with a magnitude at least 7.3 on the Moment Magnitude Scale occurs with its epicenter in worldwide before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
