KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
$40 trillion 100%+0.4ptLíder entre 6 opções
Qualidade do mercado
65 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
171,9 €
Liquidez
33,7 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
0.4 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 minutos
12/11/24, 15:00 UTC31/03/29, 15:00 UTC
Tendências
100%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the US national debt surpass 42 trillion during Trump's presidency?
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Manifold MarketsWill the US National Debt exceed $47 Trillion by the end of FY 2030?
ForecastExRegras
If the U.S. federal debt increases to 40 trillion for any quarter in Q4 2024 to Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:FRED
- If the U.S. federal debt (GFDEBTN) increases to 42.5 trillion for any quarter in Q4 2024 to Q4 2028 (inclusive), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the U.S. federal debt increases to 45 trillion for any quarter in Q4 2024 to Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the U.S. federal debt (GFDEBTN) increases to 47.5 trillion for any quarter in Q4 2024 to Q4 2028 (inclusive), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the U.S. federal debt increases to 50 trillion for any quarter in Q4 2024 to Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the U.S. federal debt (GFDEBTN) increases to 52.5 trillion for any quarter in Q4 2024 to Q4 2028 (inclusive), then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abertos
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- Gadi Eizenkot+3.4pt55.7%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration?
- A Kalshi cota $40 trillion em 100% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration é resolvido?
- Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration deverá ser resolvido em 31 de março de 2029.
- Como Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the U.S. federal debt increases to 40 trillion for any quarter in Q4 2024 to Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.