KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximadaProbabilidade implícita atualTadej Pogacar 58%-4.0%Líder entre 100 opções
Qualidade do mercado
79 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
3 mil €
Liquidez
5,2 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
57.0% / 58.0%
Spread
1.8%
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 17 minutos
7/07/26, 1:009/08/26, 17:50
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
0%
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Tadej Pogacar58%
Comparar plataformas· Richard Carapaz
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMelhor no geral62% de correspondência · auto | Alta | 17% | 0pt | 15,3 mil € | 44 mil € | há 17 minutos | Abrir → |
| KalshiEsta página | Alta | 19% | +2pt | 3 mil € | 5,2 mil € | há 17 minutos |
Também disponível em Polymarket
Tour De France 2026: Polka Dot Jersey
4.5%18d
-4.5%59%
50%
50%
+110 mais resultados
100 • Alta qualidadeSpread apertadoAlta liquidezAlta ambiguidade
Volume total20,3 mil €
Volume 24h15,3 mil €
POLYMARKETRegras
If Liam Slock wins the polka dot jersey at the 2026 Tour de France, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If || Participant || does not start, withdraws mid-race, is disqualified at any point, or fails to officially complete the race for any reason, then the market for that resolves to No.
- The polka dot jersey is awarded to the leader of the mountains classification (often called the 'King of the Mountains').
- It is determined by a points system based on how quickly riders reach the summits of designated, categorized climbs during the race.
- If two or more cyclists are tied at the end of the entire competition, the market will resolve according to the Governing Body's official tie-breaking rules.
- If after all tie-breaks are exhausted they are still tied, then payouts will be as follows: - Yes payout: $1/N, rounded down to the nearest cent (N = number of tied participants) - No payout: $1 minus the Yes payout
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Tendência de volume
$3.5k8 de jul.15d de dados22 de jul.
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If Liam Slock wins the polka dot jersey at the 2026 Tour de France, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If || Participant || does not start, withdraws mid-race, is disqualified at any point, or fails to officially complete the race for any reason, then the market for that resolves to No.
- The polka dot jersey is awarded to the leader of the mountains classification (often called the 'King of the Mountains').
- It is determined by a points system based on how quickly riders reach the summits of designated, categorized climbs during the race.
- If two or more cyclists are tied at the end of the entire competition, the market will resolve according to the Governing Body's official tie-breaking rules.
- If after all tie-breaks are exhausted they are still tied, then payouts will be as follows: - Yes payout: $1/N, rounded down to the nearest cent (N = number of tied participants) - No payout: $1 minus the Yes payout