When will insulated copper cable face Section 232 restrictions?
CommoditiesOne-OffPolítica comercial2m
KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Before Jan 1, 2028 21%
Before Jan 1, 2028 21%Qualidade do mercado
42 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
214,8 €
Contratos em aberto
1,4 mil €
Contratos em aberto: baixoCompra / Venda
13.0% / 19.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 minutos
28/07/26, 16:00 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
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Manifold MarketsRegras
If a Section 232 import restriction takes effect for articles classified under HTSUS statistical reporting number 8544.49.3040 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Federal Register
- A qualifying restriction is an additional duty above 0%, tariff-rate quota, absolute quota, or other binding quantitative import limit. Coverage through a successor or broader provision qualifies only if it fully encompasses the target line. Country carve-outs, metal-content thresholds, and other generally applicable conditions do not disqualify coverage, but coverage limited to a product or end-use subset of the line does. The restriction must take effect; merely signing or issuing an instrument with a later effective date does not qualify until that date. Only reporting from the Federal Register qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
Regras de cada resultado
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If a Section 232 import restriction takes effect for articles classified under HTSUS statistical reporting number 8544.49.3040 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If a Section 232 import restriction takes effect for articles classified under HTSUS statistical reporting number 8544.49.3040 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.