Colombian presidential election first round winner?

74.4% (24h)Política

KalshiFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa

Este mercado foi resolvido: Abelardo de la Espriella (96%)

Resolvido: 1 de jun. de 2026, 13:18

Resultado Vencedor

Abelardo de la Espriella

A 7 dias

—

A 24 horas

24%

Surpresa

Probabilidade implícita atual

Abelardo de la Espriella 96%+74.4%

Líder entre 5 opções

Qualidade do mercado

79 / 100

Alta qualidade

Volume 24h

3,1 mil €

Liquidez

4 mil €

Liquidez média

Compra / Venda

96.3% / 98.7%

Spread

2.5%

Spread apertado

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 12 dias

Desatualizado

5/03/26, 15:0031/05/27, 14:00

Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade

Abelardo de la Espriella96%

Iván Cepeda Castro61%

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Abelardo de la Espriella

+74.4%

96%

Iván Cepeda Castro

-76.3%

Paloma Valencia

Sergio Fajardo

Daniel Quintero

Este mercado fechou. O trading simulado só está disponível em mercados abertos.

Regras

If Iván Cepeda Castro wins the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.

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Regras

If Iván Cepeda Castro wins the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.

Colombian presidential election first round winner?

74.4% (24h)Política

KalshiFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa

Este mercado foi resolvido: Abelardo de la Espriella (96%)

Resolvido: 1 de jun. de 2026, 13:18

Resultado Vencedor

Abelardo de la Espriella

A 7 dias

—

A 24 horas

24%

Surpresa

Probabilidade implícita atual

Abelardo de la Espriella 96%+74.4%

Líder entre 5 opções

Qualidade do mercado

79 / 100

Alta qualidade

Volume 24h

3,1 mil €

Liquidez

4 mil €

Liquidez média

Compra / Venda

96.3% / 98.7%

Spread

2.5%

Spread apertado

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 12 dias

Desatualizado

5/03/26, 15:0031/05/27, 14:00

Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade

Abelardo de la Espriella96%

Iván Cepeda Castro61%

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Abelardo de la Espriella

+74.4%

96%

Iván Cepeda Castro

-76.3%

Paloma Valencia

Sergio Fajardo

Daniel Quintero

Este mercado fechou. O trading simulado só está disponível em mercados abertos.

Regras

If Iván Cepeda Castro wins the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.

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4,1 M €

July 31: 86%

POLYMARKET

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924,8 mil €

Jordan Bardella: 27%

POLYMARKET

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847,8 mil €

Gavin Newsom: 23%

POLYMARKET

Massachusetts Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026?

15,1 mil €

Democratic Party: 96.6%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

New York Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026?

9,2 mil €

Democratic Party: 92.1%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Starmer out before July?

9,1 mil €

Sim: 17.2%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$64,159.92+1.22%

SolanaSOL$67.95+1.78%

EthereumETH$1,679.60+0.88%

AvalancheAVAX$6.68+1.22%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0883+1.50%

Notícias Relacionadas

Former Epstein assistant Lesley Groff appears before House panel Crypto News

Congress nears final vote on $70 billion immigration funding packageCrypto News

Trump unlikely to exit by June 30, Polymarket odds swing sideBlockchain.News

House GOP eyes summer vote on prediction market restrictions for lawmakersCointelegraph

Crypto Tycoons Fund Reform UK with $12.5M in Q1 DonationsBlockchain.News

Crypto billionaires bankroll Nigel Farage's pro-crypto partyCointelegraph

Regras

If Iván Cepeda Castro wins the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.