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  3. California Governor primary: 1st place
California Governor primary: 1st place

California Governor primary: 1st place

0.4% (24h)One-OffPolíticaEleição11m
KalshiKalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Steve Hilton
Steve Hilton 1%+0.4%
Líder entre 8 opções
Qualidade do mercado

64 / 100

Qualidade média
Volume 24h

3,4 mil €

Liquidez

32,9 mil €

Alta liquidez
Compra / Venda

0.9% / 1.2%

Spread

33.3%

Spread amplo
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 1 minuto

4/02/26, 23:002/06/27, 14:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade
Eric Swalwell
Eric Swalwell
0%
Matt Mahan
Matt Mahan
0%
Chad Bianco
Chad Bianco
0%
Tom Steyer
Tom Steyer
0%

Resultado escolhido

Steve Hilton1%

Regras

If Eric Swalwell finishes in 1st place in the 2026 California Governor primary election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This market resolves based solely on the primary election results, not any subsequent general election.
  • Ranking is determined by the specified counting method.
  • For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage.
  • For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place).
  • For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals.

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Regras

If Eric Swalwell finishes in 1st place in the 2026 California Governor primary election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This market resolves based solely on the primary election results, not any subsequent general election.
  • Ranking is determined by the specified counting method.
  • For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage.
  • For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place).
  • For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals.